I’ve been following the trial of Derek Chauvin vicariously through Andrew Branca’s posts on Legal Insurrection.
The prosecution is wrapping up their “case” and the defense should start with theirs today or tomorrow. The Judge is apparently expecting closing arguments and deliberation to begin on Monday.
Having followed the “case” of the prosecution, and without even having heard anything but cross examination from the defense, I am convinced at this point that if there is a guilty verdict it is a political one not a legal one. Remember, the standard is “reasonable doubt”. If there is a reasonable doubt that the person accused didn’t commit the crime, they are to be found not guilty. In my humble opinion, the prosecution’s case left huge amorphous blobs of reasonable doubt laying around.
In my opinion, if the jury finds Chauvin guilty of anything, it will be as a result of the jury’s fear of repercussions both in the form of riots in major cities, and the potential of them individually being doxxed and their lives being ruined, if not taken outright.
I’d say the most likely outcome is going to be a hung jury mistrial and we’ll have to do this all over again. I think this will happen because there will be at least one juror willing to stand up for what’s right and say “reasonable doubt exists and Chauvin should be acquitted”, and there will be at least one juror who is fearful enough to demand a guilty verdict even though the evidence doesn’t support it. It doesn’t matter what the rest of the jury does, if those two sides stick to their guns…hung jury.
I also have no doubt that the hung jury announcement will result in violence and riots and will make it even more difficult for Chauvin to achieve a fair trial in the next go-round…partially because, thanks to the media, the rioting crowd will find it inconceivable that anyone would fail to convict Chauvin…it’s GOT to be racist because he’s so obviously guilty right?
Legal Insurrection is also on top of that aspect of the story.
What I can say with confidence is that as with the George Zimmerman trial, the public is being misinformed by the mainstream media that this is an open-and-shut case, and if Chauvin is found not guilty it’s because of systemic racism in society and the judicial system.
So, that’s my prediction: There will be a hung jury in spite of the fact that the evidence does not support a conviction, the media will portray it, and the BLM crowd will react to it, as a huge miscarriage of justice and cities will burn. Again. Then we’ll queue up for a new trial in which it will be even more difficult to find an unbiased jury who will reach a verdict based on the evidence and not on fear and we may end up with another mistrial. Rinse, lather and repeat until the prosecution finally is able to seat a jury who will unanimously vote to avert the riots and Chauvin will be convicted.
Being a prediction, I obviously could be almost correct, or even wildly wrong, but any way you cut it, Chauvin’s life as a productive, happy citizen is over. Even if he’s acquitted, he’s going to be bankrupt, he’ll never be able to work again in any capacity, he’ll be hounded by the media and unable to go out in public likely for decades, etc.
All for following published, established Minneapolis Police procedure in doing the job he was tasked to do.
What rational person would want to be a cop in this environment? What a wonderful career: risk your very life on a daily basis to serve the public, while working terrible hours, dealing with the worst society has to offer, for marginal pay and as a reward, you’ll have the opportunity to win worldwide vilification, the ruin of your life and the possibility of a long prison term as a result of doing the very job they pay you to do.
Sign me up.
People think this is going to make policing better? In what alternate reality do you work very hard to convince every rational human being that “cop” is not a desirable profession and yet get high quality, dedicated candidates to apply?
It’s a feature, not a bug. That’s the only rational conclusion.
If it weren’t for the fact that I have to live here too (not in Minneapolis, but in a relatively liberal city in a relatively liberal state), I’d almost be rooting for these idiots to get what they’re wishing for. In fact, when the purchase of my secret remote hideout is finalized and I’ve had some time to get it prepped for emergency evac, my incentive to root against their success will be greatly reduced. It would be entertaining in a “horrifying train crash” sort of way to watch from a safe distance as they try to live in the dystopian nightmare that seems to be their heart’s desire.